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Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Pro Bowler? Michael's "Bennett" before!!!



Once a heralded first round pick (2001) by the Minnesota Vikings, this oft-injured ex-pro-bowler is no longer going to ride the bench behind L.J.

Michael has received a one way ticket to Tampa Bay. I think this is a great opportunity for a kid who had so much promise to prove that he still has it.

Earnest Graham is a solid young man but does not have the capabilities yet, to be a starter in the NFL. I hope for Michael's sake that he stays injury free and gives himself a chance to make a name for himself and increase his free agent marketability for next season. He is a hard worker and has been patient. Hopefully it pays off now.

FANTASY IMPACT: This is huge for those who had Cadillac and/or Pittman...not so much for Earnest Graham owners. Graham will have a fair share of the load this week but his time is running out as a starter. He will still see returning yardage and some goal-line opportunities (10 touches a game) but it is Bennett's position to lose, come Week 8. Grab'em while he is hot... He has the potential to do some damage...as long as the offensive line doesn't allow damage to be done to him.

Statistocrat

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The "Wright" Free Agent


Apparently I hadn't really dug to deep when I posted my "waiver wire" blog because this kid is due to continue the trend of the past three weeks with Jamal Lewis getting the "boot"... No, he is not been taken from the starting line-up, he literally has a boot on his foot.

For the past three weeks it has now been apparent that Lewis is sporting an injured foot. Jason Wright, a 3rd year running back out of Northwestern has slowly increased his touches enough that he needs to be considered a third-tier running back.


Both last week and this week, he is averaging 18 carries for 59 YDs and 1 TD (3.9 YD avg.). The average yardage is nothing special, not even average at this point, but it runs consistently with Jamal's numbers through the first four games. This happens when you have a pass-happy offense due to poor offensive line and excelling youth at the WR and TE positions. Until Jamal gets back on the field and in 100% health, it is apparent that the kid gets the call.

FANTASY IMPACT: Cleveland is turning into a pass first, pass second, run third offense. Wright isn't going to win you fantasy games, but he will get you 6-8 points in yardage (1 pt. for every 10 yards) and the potential of a TD (6 pts), giving you a potential of 12 - 14 pts. a week. The Browns face the Rams this coming week and should give Wright the chance to put up even better numbers.


Statistocrat

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"Moore" On The Horizon!

The Vikings have lowered their trade expectations to a 4th Round Pick for the enigmatic running back/return man. Mewelde Moore has been a career back-up for all intense purposes, handling the majority of kick and punt returns.

He is a speedy, shifty running back out of Tulane (4th season). At 5'11'', 209 Lbs, this 25-year-old running back has been lurking in the background for some time. He can bring solid hands out of the backfield as well as a pretty good career 4.9 YDs a carry.

The Vikings have depth at RB with Chester Taylor and the unbelievable Adrian Peterson. With Moore expendable and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Denver Broncos in need of a RB, it seems inevitable that he will land in one of two places within the week. The trade deadline is fast approaching and I don't expect either to stand still with this recent drop in Moore's market price. I believe that the Bronco's have Mike Bell and Selvin Young so they won't push as hard as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who have lost Cadillac for the season and Pittman, their third down back, injured. I believe he will likely end up a Buccaneer.

FANTASY IMPACT: This means something more for young Earnest Graham than it does for anyone else in the NFL. He is bound to lose touches upon Mewelde's arrival. Moore will still split carries, likely landing as the third down specialist with his sure hands and ability to get to the sidelines in a hurry. Anticipate him fielding kick/punt returns too. "When", not "If" this happens, he should quickly be scouped up from the waiver wires (if not before) due to the Buccaneers reliance on the running game.

Statistocrat

What Can "Browns" Do For You?

To say that the Cleveland Browns are doing better than expectations is an understatement. Viewed as the cellar-dwellers of their division, it appears that the Browns and Bengals have swapped spaces.

Romeo and his crew have managed to win three games bringing the ball club to 3 - 3. They are 2 - 1 in their division and look like a team that is going to continue to put up offensive numbers. They have a chance to be 5 - 3 before going to division leading Pittsburgh in Week 9 and then going to Baltimore for Week 10 (@ STL in Week 7, Seattle at home in Week 8). Their defense IS getting better but is still littered with older veterans and young, inexperienced youth. The team has been generating some fantasy points... of which, no one predicted until a week or two into Derek Anderson's tenure as the starting QB. With that being said, it appears that Brady Quinn will have to learn the system and hold a clipboard as the offense looks as good as it has in 10 years.

FANTASY IMPACT: This team can do a ton for you regardless of who they are facing. Derek Anderson put up 287 YDs and 2 TDs vs. a staunch NE defense. Braylon Edwards has put up some impressive numbers so far this season, accumulating 552 YDs and 7 TDs. Kellen Winslow is coming into his own averaging 84 YDs a game (17.4 YD avg.) and has 2 TDs so far this season. Jamal Lewis has been his typical fantasy letdown, averaging less than 50 YDs (not counting his 200+ YD game) and has seen less touches as the season progresses. The one to watch out for on the waiver wire is young Jason Wright who has seen his workload increase each of the past two weeks including almost 43 YDs in receiving last week against MIA. This means either they don't have faith in Lewis or he is injured and they are not announcing it. All in all, it appears that you can rely on Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards, and Kellen Winslow to produce for the future.

Statistocrat

Monday, October 15, 2007

Waiver Wire ~ Week 7





My sincerest apologies for my "no call / no show" for Week 6. I spent Sunday ~ Wednesday in Indianapolis on business and threw off my whole week. (I regretfully did not bring my laptop, not that I had any real time to do so).


Here is a list of players that may still be available in your free agent pool that could add depth to your line-up and help you on your way to your fantasy league championship game.




QUARTERBACKS:


Brian Griese: He is doing what no NFL quarterback has done in a long time in Chicago... put up points and cut down the turn-overs. Griese has shown an ability to utilize the offense he is in. Berrian is shooting up the ranks as an NFL wide receiver, the tandem of Olsen and Clark are proving invaluable and even Cedric Benson has shown flashes of coming out of his sub-par 3.8 YD per carry average. If you have a QB that has a late bye-week, this may be your man to fill the shoes when the time comes to get off the bench and into the starting line-up.


Tavaris Jackson: The Minnesota offense is growing, both on their fans and in the NFL. Having Holcomb come in did two things: show Tavaris that this offense can be potent if utilized correctly, and two, given Jackson a fire to perform better, knowing that there is a replacement that the organization is willing to lean on during their "growing pains." Jackson has mobility, which is in his favor, and has enough of an arm to utilize the deep threats of Williamson and Rice (both from So. Car.). He showed that he could do it this weekend with a DEEP ball to Williamson. The tandem of Peterson (needs more touches) and Taylor assure him that when ahead, they can run the clock down AND put up points.


Kerry Collins: This is only relevant if in fact Young sees any lost time on the field. Pay attention to the injury report. He isn't great, but has a strong arm and can get it down field in a hurry, especially with the young speed of the WR corp. in Tennessee. Collins would rely on White and Brown to keep the chains moving. He would only be a back-up, but could have good numbers when the match-up is right.


Cleo Lemon: If for no other reason, because he is now the starter in Miami. Cleo is mobile, something Trent Green has never been. He has to be to survive the weak O-line in Miami. Ronnie Brown continues to show great strides this season and WRs Chambers and Booker can, when healthy and motivated, get the job done. The defense is hurting without Zach Thomas and a young secondary, giving Lemon more opportunities to sling the ball down field. Again, another back-up or bye-week replacement, but he beats out a lot of other back-ups riding most fantasy teams' benches.



RUNNING BACKS:


LenDale White: He appears to be healthy and has lost his extra 30 lbs. due to the rigors of the NFL. He only put up 64 YDs this past week but did see the ball more than he has in the past. When facing the right defense, he can have big yardage, but the important factor is where he is receiving his touches... 1st and 2nd and the red zone... Brown is used to get'em there with White being utilized as the muscle when it counts. Sometimes being a little heavier has it's perks.


Nejah Davenport: Nejah is quietly putting up fantasy points and riding most free agent lists. He has 3 TDs this year and is capitalizing on every touch he gets. The coaches have changed in PIT but that doesn't mean that the basic offensive constructs have. This team is still going to pound it down your throat on the ground with only 18 - 22 passing attempts a game. Big Ben still puts up solid numbers but it is the ground game that is going to win ball games. Nejah will play his part and walk away with at least 8 TDs by the end of the season.


Selvin Young: The clock is ticking for Travis Henry. I expect that by the end of October, early November, he will need to 'fess up and serve his time for being a "pothead". The heir apparent is Selvin Young, an undrafted rookie free agent out of the University of Texas. The kid has powerful legs, shifty moves, and leans into every hit for that extra one or two yards. He also has speed enough to get around the linebackers and turn it up field in a hurry. If you have space on your bench, he should be sitting there. If you are in a keeper league, you should consider adding him to the bench before your free agent deadline, just in case Henry never makes it back to Denver...with injuries and addictions, this could be a distinct possibility.



WIDE RECEIVERS:


Lee Evans: I am shocked at the number of leagues that I am in or the leagues that people I speak with have dropped this kid. Losman won't be gone forever and Lee Evans is his main target. With Lynch getting his NFL legs under him, by the time Losman comes back, this team could do some damage. Price is out as the 2nd WR, so speedy Roscoe Parrish steps back into the role and will prove invaluable late in the season (especially if your league rewards return yardage). Grab'em and let'em ride the pine until Losman comes back, then you are stacked for a late season run.


Reggie Williams: More and more, David Garrard is leaning on this first round draft pick that until this point has been a let down. The offense is starting to gel and Williams is definitely benefiting. If you have a weak WR corp., pick him up. He may be at the bottom of your WR package, but with the way he is being called upon by David, that may turn around in the 2nd half of the season.


Donte Stallworth: Due to the success of Moss, Welker, and Watson, many gave up on this player. A No. 1 on most teams, he has been picking up a head of steam in the past three weeks, averaging almost a 100 Yds and TD a week. Ben Watson may be down for a while (watch the injury report) which would all but guarantee even more utilization of this slippery, speedy, wide receiver. Check the free agent pool, you may be shocked to see him sitting there calling out your name.


David Patten: A few weeks ago I mentioned this players name. The one thing that NO lacks is speed, which is something that David Patten has. He went over a 100 YDs for the first time since leaving New England, making a stop along the way to NO at WAS. There he was under-utilized and eventually hurt and put on the I/R. Expect David to become more of a threat, not necessarily getting more than 5 - 7 passes a game, but with his size and speed it makes it difficult to keep up with him, then tackle him.


Bobby Engram: As long as he is healthy, he is the go to guy in Seattle. With Branch out at least until Week 9, Engram gets the call. He had four games in a row, late last year, where he saw the majority of passing attempts, netting high yardage and at least a TD a game... however, he got injured, so watch his health if you take a stab at him on your roster.



TIGHT ENDS:


Greg Olsen: For some, especially smaller leagues, he is still out there. He is fast enough to be a WR, yet big enought to be a TE. Clark is used more for short yardage and run-blocking ability yet Olsen still has the best chance to net you fantasy points. Griese is in love with his TEs and it should be known that Olsen is splitting out more and more, being utilized like Indy is doing with Clark.


Donald Lee: Let's face it, the Packers can't run... with that being said, anyone who is young, quick, and has "sure hands" has a shot at some fantasy points. Lee is steadily replacing Franks. He has been called upon with in the red zone more and more. I expect him to be in the top 7 by the end of the year...


Randy McMichael: Boy has he disappeared in the fantasy world. I believe that Bulger under-utilized his abilities (really the Offensive coach), but with Frerotte in, there is a chance that over the next few weeks, he could be useful in the fantasy format. Don't hold your breath or lose someone valuable for him, but if you have no one on your line-up, facing a bye-week, or dealing with an injured TE, grab'em.



Those are my fantasy waiver wire grabs for the NFL Week 7. I hope that you find this informative and useful. I will see you all later when we approach mid-week with my fantasy Sit'em and Start'em blogs.



Statistocrat