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Friday, September 21, 2007

Fantasy Football ~ Week 3: "Sit'em"

Here are my picks for this week's "Sit'em" installment. Again, I preface that I am not here to pick the obvious players, but those that are borderline starters or have key match-ups that will affect their outcome (although, there are a few "big names" like Larry Johnson on Week 2 Sit'em, and a few "head-scratchers" [like Brett Favre on my Week 2 Start'em] that I throw out there from time to time)

This week should be no different. Many of you will disagree with me and that is okay.. it is what makes fantasy football and the blogging community so great!



QUARTERBACKS:

Tony Romo: I can hear it all now, your head twisting off of your neck as you read this name. No offense (I have him in several leagues), but Romo and the boys will struggle against a strong Chicago defense. Will the Cowboys win the game? Most likely. But the question here is, how will Tony do fantasy-wise. He may get close to 200 yds and maybe pop a TD, but I think that if you have a solid back-up with a more favorable match-up, you go with your bench QB.

Matt Schaub: I don't play him for two reasons. One, Andre Johnson is hurt, leaving him with lesser alternatives to put points on the board. Second, one name...Bob Sanders. I have nicknamed him "Bob the Nailer" (See Point of Impact, now a movied "Shooter"). This guy is simply ri-DONK-ulous. With the pass-rush of the Indy defense and the speed of the linebackers to keep the sidelines monitored, lastly, with "Bob the Nailer" coming in to destroy any screens or swing-passes out of the backfield, I don't see this as a promising day for Schaub.

Matt Leinart: Many things pop into my head, the first of which is the likes of Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. Then I turn to Larry Fitzgerald and his inability to go to the ball but instead waiting for the ball to come to him. The ever-growing but still lack-luster of an offensive line. Then the biggest impact. This is a team that wants to run to open the pass...in Baltimore? Not so much. Will Leinart be great? Maybe not. Will he be a top QB in a few years, quite possibly. Sunday will not be a career-defining moment, I assure you.

Derek Anderson: As Flavor Flav used to say, "Don't Believe The Hype". If you think you are some fantasy guru and found the steal of the century, sit down on a bench, pick up your chocolates and start telling stories, Forrest Gump, because you didn't. If he is your option for QB this week, you have given someone a carefree weekend...your opposing GM. Oakland was Numero Uno in passing defense categories last year.... not much has changed except a new coach, new life on offense, and a leaner, meaner defensive line.

RUNNINGBACKS:

Marion Barber III: He has always been hit or miss... This week, I think he will miss. The Chicago defense is based on stuff'em football, Sunday should be no exception. I just don't see him getting it done this week. He has not done well in his limited history against Chicago and expect the trend to continue.

Edgerrin James: He is on this list for the very same reason that Matt Leinart is... the Baltimore Defense. I line-covering, runningback-blanketing, ball-hawking front seven, I anticipate the youth of the offensive line wearing out and making short work of the Arizona running game. As a point of fact, I believe you may end up seeing more Marcel Shipp than Edge if the o-line breaks down too much.

DeShawn Wynn: He has surpassed Brandon Jackson on the depth charts. He will get a reality check this Sunday. Why? Great question, because he is facing Shawne and his "Merry-men" of bone-crushing defenders. This is the game that the Packer's fans come back to earth. I believe that last week was humiliating and a pact will be sworn (in blood, perhaps) that it won't happen again. When it is all over, Wynn will be beat up and Jackson will have shared half the load.

Thomas Jones: Coming off a leg injury is hard, trying to do it while Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas beat on you and your 2nd string QB is darn-near impossible. Thomas will have a fairly active game, 65-75 yds but I don't see a TD in his forecast this week. He will work up to speed, maybe week 5 to consider him confident in both legs and Clemens (unless "Gimpy" Pennington comes back).

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Calvin Johnson: I realize his capabilities and the potent offense that Detroit is mustering up, but do you think that Andy Reid is going to let his staff get down 0-3 and be out of the playoff chase after Week 3? Not likely. Philadelphia has a great secondary (is Brian Dawkins down for awhile? If so, this could change Calvin being on or off this list). If in fact Dawkins is down for the count, then start Calvin, but even if this is the case, I don't see him having that productive of a week.

Andre Johnson: The Houston team wants to keep Indy on their toes, if they can help it, they will place him as "questionable or at worst, doubtful", giving the Indy cover 2 something to think about. However, even if he did make it on the field, he is no better off physically than Pennington. The reason he is on here as that as of now, they haven't called him "out" of the game.

Marques Colston: Tennessee' D is for real, maybe not fantasy-wise, but in reality, they have a strong front seven who punishes the runners (sorry Deuce, Reggie). I expect that they are pumped about their showing against Indy and it will carry over to this week. I don't expect more than 65 yds out of Colston. Heck, Eric Johnson will see more work this week than Marques.

Darrell Jackson: He always has at least 2 weeks a year that he doesn't show up... Against Mike Tomlin's destructive 4-3 defense, I see this as one of them. The 49ers are going to learn a lot this week, one of them is how to get the ball in when there really isn't a chance. They will also learn how to lick their wounds, watch tape, and learn a ton about themselves and their offensive weaknesses. The defense will keep them in the game, but the offense just won't get it done... Arnez Battle will have a better fantasy week than Jackson.

TIGHT ENDS:

Alge Crumpler: He, single-handedly, misses Vick the most. He will see nothing at Carolina that resembles his former self with Vick at the helm. With a week or three, Leftwich up there, he may be more inclined to throw to Alge, but for now, expect Alge to be the 6th lineman more than not...

Vernon Davis: Vernon completes the SanFran Sit'em section as they face the Pittsburgh Steelers. He hasn't quite found his role in the offense (or at least Alex Smith hasn't). Gore will keep PIT busy, but there is too much speed and talent on their defense for Davis to get the best of him. If Gore can get them in scoring range, he may get a chance at a goalline attempt, but with the 4-3 of Tomlin's, I won't guarantee he gets a chance to catch it.

This week brings some big names to my Sit'em section of the blog. Like'em or leave'em, these are my opinions. Look for my Waiver Wire Watch blog on Monday night!


Statistocrat

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