"Elementary Dear "Watson, "Johnson's" Out!!!"

It must be tough to realize that you are hosting one of the toughest defensive squads in the league without your stud running back. The Bengals' camp has announced that Rudi Johnson is out for Monday Night Football.

Kenny Watson, a six year veteran of the league, was originally drafted by the Washington Redskins. He isn't as big as Rudi Johnson, therefore, he will not try to plow through defensive lineman and linebackers, but he is faster and has great elusiveness. Kenny will savor the chance to get the start, until about half-way through the first quarter when he realizes that New England Defense is dominating him like a new guy on the cell block...used and abused, then passed along so that it can be done again.

I think that if you are a Cincinnati fan, you are looking to Vegas to see if the line changes. As it stands, I have seen it hover around "-6"... if this thing grows, you might as well DVR the game and focus on your weekly sitcoms. Sometimes, however, changes like this actually stimulates Vegas to go the other way... if that is the case, paint yourself up and start whooping it up like it was 1999.

Being a Patriots homer, I just don't see it. The Pats are one of the best running teams and one of the best run-defense teams. The one thing that Cincinnati has to it's favor is height...in the WR corp. Asante Samuel, Ellis Hobbs III, Randall Gay, James Sanders, Eugene Wilson, and Rodney Harrison are all "vertically challanged" which gives T.J., and C.J. great opportunity, at least early in the game.

FANTASY IMPACT: If you are like me and have many o' teams invested in Rudi Johnson, this is completely deflating. Scurry like rabbits and grab Kenny Watson, Brian Leonard, or Correll Buckhalter as fast as you can, get out the prayer mat, and start bowing towards the east, cuz' yer' gunna need it!!! This benefits the NE Defense more than anyone (besides Vegas for this late scratch)... I can't see this being any better for those who have Cincinnati Defense as they are likely to play behind, most of the game. Carson Palmer, C.J., and T.J will either blow up with big points or implode with "Nare' a point ta'show fer it, Saavy?"

Statistocrat

Week 4 ~ "Sit'em"

This is an exciting week as there are a ton of "starters" that I believe will not have a good showing by the time the week is out. There are many players that could fall into the category of "Sit'em", but I believe these are the ones that could make or break your week. Unfortunately, I am listing half of my keeper league's team, but that just comes with the territory.

Here are this week's "Sit'em"...

QUARTERBACKS:

Jon Kitna: I realize that he is a gun-slinging mad-man with tons of talent and opportunity (Williams, Ca. Johnson, S. McDonald, M. Furrey), however, they are facing a staunch defense that is prone to break you down as the game progresses. Chicago has the ability to rush the pass and rush defense like no other. Similar to Baltimore and now San Fransisco's defense, it's the front 7 that dictates how this game goes. They WILL stop the run, will hurry Kitna frequently and will turn this into a battle of turnovers. Kitna will "get his", but I don't feel that it is going to be a fairly profitable week regarding fantasy points.

Jay Cutler: He has shown that he isn't ready regardless of how calculated Mike Shanahan is. The run hasn't been the typical Bronco's strength which has lead for them to rely more on the pass to deliver points on the board. With Javon's knee basically sidelining him, if not, at least slowing him down enough that he cannot get behind the average backfield. INDY has shown that they are above average, at least with the punishing blows of Bob "The Nailer" Sanders wrecking havoc from literally anywhere on the field. Brandon Marshall will have enough of a showing to start him, but Cutler will be ineffective against a hungry defense and a potent offense. The most likely will play from behind the whole game with many INTs possible.

Matt Leinart: I want him to be successful, but after his first three weeks, it doesn't seem possible. PIT is ruthless in their pursuit of the quarterback and the wide receivers, which is the majority of the Cardinals offensive strength. The Cardinals WILL be held to a one dimensional offense this week... Running the ball. I anticipate another mid-game swap as Warner's abilty to quickly read defenses and just as quick to get rid of the ball. Either way, many picks, dropped passes, quarterback hurries and sacks, as the Steelers have their way with the 'Zona offense.

Eli Manning: He has been surprisingly successful up to this point of the season. That streak ends Sunday. I cannot see him doing too much with an ailing Burress, a young talent in Steve Smith, a slowing/aging Amani Toomer, and an average run game. The only thing saving him is the quality of the offensive line. Jeremy Shockey will be a great start, but even he won't do more than 65 YDs and a TD.

RUNNINGBACKS:

Rudi Johnson: He hasn't do too, too much so far and I don't expect it to be much better this week. Regardless that CIN is at home, have great receivers, an amazing quarterback, and a better than average offensive line, the only factor that matters is this.... They are facing the NE Patriots defense. When you hold Thomas Jones, LaDanian Tomlinson, and Marshawn Lynch to under 50 YDs, you can't expect Rudi Johnson to do much more than that. This hurts as he is my top runningback in many leagues (where I picked 7th or later, including my keeper league).

Larry Johnson: Two weeks ago, I told you to sit him and for the most part, I was right. I got tons of people telling me "you just don't sit Larry Johnson"... The response I give is, "YES....YES YOU DO!!!" Don't get hung up on last years stats, his "namesake" or his potential... Not when he is essentially still in training camp mode, has a weak offense (besides the line) and truly hasn't done enough to say he is ready to shoulder his offense and earn the massive amounts of money he received. Sit'em... He will be ready in another two weeks, but he is not the answer.... San Diego is too tough in the run-defense department.... instead, look for KC to capitalize on the weak secondary of SD.

Cadillac Williams: Recently, he has looked like the Cadillac of old... The rookie "Cadillac", not the sophomore slump "Cadillac". Unfortunate for Williams' owners, he is facing a tough run-defense at Carolina. He will see more work out of the screen and swing routes through the air than he will see statistics on the ground. He will rebound, but expect a tough week.

Warrick Dunn: He appears to be fairly healthy, but the loss of Vick takes away from the effectiveness of Dunn. The defense doesn't have to protect every inch of the field, which allows them to hurry Harrington and crowd the line on obvious run downs (1 and 10) (2 and 5 or less). Atlanta is facing a young, tough, and aggressive defensive line... I don't expect him to really do anything of note this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Plaxico Burress: If you are going to see a specialist, it can't look too promising, not with the quality of internal medical staffing for these NFL corporations. He has pushed through to date with outstanding results. I think this is the week that either they sit him for a "quick recovery" or he fights through it and has difficulty against a motivated Philly secondary, even without Brian Dawkins. I have been wrong with "Plastic-O" before, but think I am right on with this assessment.

Tory Holt: According to Marc Bulger history, he always tanks in the first three games which is why I don't draft him, but trade for him right around this time... GMs get fed up easy with their quarterbacks. Holt is still hobbled by a knee injury and will not benefit from a quarterback with broken ribs, a starting "elite" runningback that is out, and a Dallas defense that is quickly growing into the mold that Wade Phillips envisions with this line-up. Again, another keeper and often drafted by myself, this is a tough pill to swallow.

Calvin Johnson: Chicago Bears. Need I say more. I think that Kitna will struggle mightily, affecting Johnson and the rest of the Lions offense. He is listed as probable, but don't think it is much, but the bottom-line is, they are facing an extremely difficult defense who likes to mask their secondary, exposing poor decisions by the quarterback and bad route-running by the wide receiver. He is a phenomenal talent and has an extremely bright future, but this will not be a day he will shining.

Roddy White: Each week he has grown statistically. Harrington is developing a relationship with White, however, Houston is going to make the Falcon's look bad and White will come down to earth like Randel El has recently done. I expect that he will get his chances, I just don't see this being a big day for him or the Falcons.

TIGHT ENDS:

Kellen Winslow: The fact is, he is injured (SHOCKING!!) Additionally, the Browns are palying the Ravens, regardless that they are at home. I think that this is going to be a blow-out with Baltimore simply running away with it (literally, I think McGahee has a HUGE day). Winslow will see limited action, especially if they get down early. Romeo may be a bad coach, but he isn't stupid.

Dallas Clark: I think he will be stymied by the Denver Defense. I don't have any facts to back it up, just a gut feeling that they will rely heavily on Addai and a young Anthony Gonzalez this week, thinking they can simply go underneath enough (Addai & Gonzalez, to get him in the mix) that they can open up the field, keep the secondary honest, and burn them with a safety corp. that is strong/powerful, but not necessarily fast.

Randy McMichael: Why sign a guy if you aren't going to use him. This can go either way, either Bulger thinks he's superman, attempting the same, long, drawn out plays to get WRs deep and gets demolished or due to the Leonard experiment, poor offensive line, and cracked ribs, relies heavily on McMichael. Unfortunately, he doesn't call plays, make audibles from the line, or anticipate anything other than what is given, therefore lending itself to the "superman" complex more than the "checkdown" approach.

I hope that this information proves valuable when Week 4 is done and in the books. There are some picks that I think could pay off... it could back fire... but such is life in the NFL and the fantasy world.

Happy Managing!!!

Statistocrat

"You MIGHT Be A Dunderhead If..."

I give my personal props to Jeff Foxworthy as I create what I believe to be some of the most dunder-headed moves of week"...

YOU MIGHT BE A DUNDERHEAD IF...

5. [Marc Bulger]You believe that having several cracked ribs doesn't affect a Quarterback and his throwing and decision-making.

He has two broken ribs, is coming off a three-interception game and ranks 26th in NFL passer rating. But quarterback Marc Bulger is not making excuses. And not backing down, even if it means going against the party line at Rams Park.How much is the rib injury holding him back? "None," Bulger replied ~ St. Louis Post-Dispatch

4. [Donovan McNabb] You think that in this day and age, that people look at race/creed/color, when praising or flambasting their quarterbacks. (besides, maybe, your dunderheaded counterparts who "lives in denial")

In a bizarre interview that ended with McNabb walking off the podium at the Philadelphia Eagles practice facility Wednesday, the five-time Pro Bowl quarterback reiterated his statement on HBO that black QBs face greater scrutiny than their white counterparts. ~ MSN.Com

3. [Milton Bradley] You are so enraged by something someone says that you lose your temper, your head, further removing your team's chances of a playoff bid and potentially ending your career by blowing out an ACL during a verbal argument... How do you even DO THAT!

San Diego Padres outfielder Milton Bradley will have surgery Thursday in Cincinnati to repair a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee. Bradley sustained the season-ending injury when his own manager spun him to the ground while trying to keep him from going after umpire Mike Winters during an eighth-inning confrontation in Sunday's 7-3 loss to Colorado.
~ SI.Com

2. [Rex Grossman] If you saw the way you played quarterback for, oh, I don't know...your whole career, and didn't see this coming!

Despite being the second-lowest-rated starting quarterback in the NFL, Rex Grossman didn't expect his demotion to backup quarterback that coach Lovie Smith made official Wednesday."I was surprised but [felt] frustration," Grossman said after his first day of practice as the No. 2 quarterback. ~ Chicagosports.com


AND THE NUMBER ONE SIGN YOU MIGHT BE A DUNDERHEAD IF...


1. [Michael Vick] You test positive for marijuana use during a drug test while being accused... OF A FRIGGIN' FELONY!!!!

"Falcons quarterback Michael Vick tested positive for marijuana, has been confined to his Virginia residence at night, forced to wear an electronic monitoring device and ordered to receive mental health counseling, according to court documents filed Wednesday." Vick tested positive in a urine sample submitted on September 13, 2007, 17 days after a plea agreement in federal court on felony charges related to dogfighting. ~ Atlanta Journal-Constitution


I had so much fun with this article, I may have to do this more often. Until next time...


Statistocrat

Week 4 ~ "Start'em"

We enter our first week with the need to cover some positions due to the bye week. Reviewing this week's matchups, there are some obvious choices, of which I don't need to get into.... If you don't know whether or not to play them, you shouldn't own a team, but this article is for the bye week replacements and decisions between your second-tier players or free agent "steals".

QUARTERBACKS:

Matt Schaub: Although he is not typically your first string quarterback, unless you have McNabb (against a porious NYG secondary), Romo (does it matter who they are up against anymore?), Brady (again, does it matter? 38 points, thank you... NEXT!!!), then you may want to consider using Schaub as a spot starter. If you are torn between playing Palmer or not, I recommend you don't. The Patriots are number 2 in pass-defense, allowing teams approx. 157 yds a game.

Kyle Boller: Baltimore faces a Division I-AA defense at CLE this week. They are in the bottom five of both pass and run defense (Romeo, or Romeo, where ar thou defense, Romeo?). He is a game manager by nature and has a great chance to push 200+ yds, 2 tds or more!

Brian Griese: No, I didn't pick him because he is fresh meat. Actually, he is facing a defensive secondary that had 4 TDs and almost 400 yds last week. Although that was extreme, they haven't faired much better in there previous attempts at stopping the pass. With Berrian, Muhammad, Olsen, and Clark, I see a great game for Brian to come out and win some fan support.

Chad Pennington: He really hasn't been the epitome of health, nor a yardage machine, but he has put up approximately 175 yds and 2TDs in each of his two starts against solid secondaries (@ NE: 167 YDs & 2 TDs, 124 YDs & 2 TDs). The Buffalo Bills pale in comparison to these two teams so he should see 200+ and potentially 3 TDs.

Jeff Garcia: The reason I added him to the list this week is because of Carolina's inability to properly defend the pass, to date. I realize that beyond Galloway and Williams out of the backfield, he is limited on options, but that shouldn't stop him from putting up better than average numbers, say 225Yds & 2 TDs (maybe even run one in for good measure). This is a hit or miss pick as he could very well disappoint as well. I lean more towards profitable, again relying on the Panthers history so far this season, giving up over 246 YDs a game so far. (Subsequently, this isn't looking good for "Cadillac" because they are 7th in rush defense.

RUNNING BACKS

Brian Leonard: With the rib injury to Bulger, knee injury for Holt, and the most recent groin injury to Steven Jackson, it is Leonards time to shine (See Leonard Gets First Gig! ). This kid is a north running bruiser who will plough through, stomp down, leap over, or stiff-arm you in the grill if he needs to. He is going to hurt somebody and it should equal some healthy fantasy points for whomever elects to start him.

Ronnie Brown: No, I wouldn't start him every week, but against the Oakland Raiders there shouldn't be a doubt. This defense has yet to get it's knees under itself. Don't expect what he did last week, but expect a fairly productive week of 85+ YDs and at least 1 TD.

Correll Buckhalter: If Brian Westbrook misses the game, I assure you Correll won't miss him. Buckhalter can run the ball, he can catch, and he can make some fantasy GM who wisely picked him up off free agency to start, if for nothing else, this week. Brian Westbrook he is not, but he has the potential to be among the top 10 runningbacks, statistically, this week as the NYG haven't proven they can truly stop the run.

Thomas Jones: For all those who drafted him, here is your big payday. Thomas faces a defense that can't get out of it's own way, nevermind get in the way of the offense. Thomas Jones will have a career day as Pennington and the boys should feast on the Buffalo defense. With Washington handling punts and kick returns, it appears that Jones is ready to be the work horse. 20+ touches for Jones typically equals 100 YDs and points on the board.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Bernard Berrian: This game is a great opportunity to get some worth out of picking him in the draft. With the emergence of Griese as the starter and the weak secondary of the Lions, expect both Berrian and Muhammad to put up relatively prosperous numbers. I see Berrian finishing with a TD, however, he may not see more than 60 YDs.

Derrick Mason: An oldie, but a goodie. Derrick is not going to revive his career by any means, but should capitalize on the weak defense of the Cleveland Browns. Last week showed that Boller will rely on his veteran leadership and excellent route-running, defense-acknowledging experience to put points on the board.

Andre Davis: With Andre Johnson injured, expect another Andre to sport a great portion of the workload. Andre Davis has never lived up to his potential. He had NFL star written all over his resume, unfortunetly, he has been religated to a third receiver in most offenses, including Houston. Expect him to be a go-to target for Schaub as they go to ATL and try and prey on the young, aggressive, and some-times dumb-witted (D. Hall???) actions that give teams great opportunity to light up the scoreboard and give some credence to his roster spot.

Joey Galloway: I realize that he is viewed by some as an elite player. Yes, he still has speed and can get behind a defender, but the offense is lead by Garcia and his short-passing vision of an offense. TB walks into a secondary that is good, not great, but good. The problem with Galloway is not Galloway at all, it is the falling star of Mike Clayton. Maurice Stovall will give some secondaries trouble though. Let's hope for Joey's sake that he does and that Garcia can make a target of Galloway all game long.

Kevin Curtis: PhI walks into NYG Stadium still out to prove something. Some consider this a no-brainer, but also considers Randel-El's monster walk more than an epiphany. With Curtis, it is different. Donavan showed two weeks ago that he wanted Kevin as his top receiver, last week just confirmed it. This is a solid start as the NYG secondary will surely have their hand's full with Curtis, Avant, Brown, and Smith, led by none other than McNabb...

TIGHT ENDS:

Ben Watson: Tom Brady loves him some Ben!!! Ben has been the target of his third checkdown for quite awhile now...finding the endzone the last two weeks. With Cincinnati sitting in a den, awaiting the lion to take it away from them, they will find that the take-aways won't be near as frequent as they have seen in recent weeks. I expect Ben to walk away with at least 50 yds and a TD, maybe more if they focus on Moss & Welker.

Chris Baker: I can't help myself by adding him in here again. He is finding a knack to be open from 10 Yds in. He isn't Gates, Heap, Shockey, or Gonzalez, but he is giving his best effort to get there someday. Pennington struggles with staying on his feet and will find Baker more useful as the season progresses. At least a TD. If you get more than 40 YDs out of him, that is a bonus.

Jason Witten: His stats will be on again, off again, but this week should be profitable for young Witten. There is no clear cut number two wider receiver with Terry Glenn out (and won't do much when he comes back), unless you count Patrick Crayton or Sam Hurd. Witten will get his fair share against a poor STL defense. He may eclipse 100 YDs and get a look or two at the endzone (if Barber isn't soaking it up).

Hope this helps to either start'em and sit your starter or pick'em up and start'em if you have available roster space (weak players deep in your teams depth charts). Tomorrow we will focus on Sit'em and who can you bring up from your depth chart to start and make an impact.

Statistocrat

Slick Move In Chi-Town...Brian "Griese"-d In!!!

Listening to Lovie Smith over the past 2 years was starting to not only sound like a broken record, but now something "Saban-like"...

Rex Grossman is our quarterback... Rex Grossman is our quarterback... I am not taking the Alabama job...

I am not comparing the two in the sense of ability although both are talented coaches, it is simply that they had to make a decision that was best for their team... Lovie for the Bears, Nick for the Dolphins.

The news isn't exactly a shock. Rex has faced some sound defenses but his decision-making skills have deminished mostly due to hesitation in the pocket. He had lost the Gunslinger mentality and tried to replace it with game management skills. Unfortunately for Rex, that isn't his forte.

With this in mind comes the changing of the guard as Brian Griese, pro bowler, game manager, will take over the helm in Week 4. Long overdue, it is a decision that 99% of America will agree is the right choice (there are some Rex supporters, mostly with the last name Chapman.)

FANTASY IMPACT: To me this is big... to the offense of Chicago, this is huge! With the tandem of speedy Bernard Berrian and the large presence of Muhsin Muhammad, this team can and should produce more consistancy in the fantasy realm. In addition, the health of Greg Olsen being restored gives Brian an extremely talented check-down receiver (not that Desmond Clark isn't either, but will be used more as a typical TE, blocking and catching but anticipate Lovie to work Olsen like Indy is using Dallas Clark this year, more as a slot receiver.) Cedric Benson will enjoy Griese's game management skills because they won't be playing behind as much as they have, giving the passing offense more respect therefore opening more holes in the line to make some high yardage runs. Lastly, the Chicago Defense just became that much better because they will be able to pin their ears back, crash the offensive line's party and ball-hawk for turnovers, knowing that the offense will at worst be smart and keep them in the game. I still say pick-up a re-emerged Favre before considering Griese, but if you need a back-up, go for him.

Statistocrat

"Leonard Gets His First Gig"

I am extremely excited about the news out of St. Louis last night regarding Brian Leonard and his opportunity to shine in the NFL.

When is the last time you heard of a caucasion athlete starting at the runningback position since Larry Czonka? (Allstot doesn't count as he was a fullback, not the same thing).

The news is devistating for many fantasy GMs around the globe as their stud runningback Steven Jackson has hit the D/L with a tear in his groin muscle (OUCH!).

I have Steven in two leagues and if you are like me, you insured that last night, he (Leonard) was tops on your waiver wire requests. If you are doing well in the league, you need to break out the rain gear and do a dance that he falls to you because you don't have to be truly saavy, fantasy-wise, to know enough to request him on your roster.

Unfortunately the St. Louis Rams simply look bad right now. I can't put my finger on it, but with all the skilled positions stacked, the onus must fall on the offensive line. Bulger doesn't have time to properly checkdown, Holt (knee) and Bruce (age) simply do not have enough time to get open and McMichael, to date, has simply disappeared of the fantasy "face of the earth".

FANTASY IMPACT: Expect that Leonard, with his raw talent and full head of steam approach, will actually fair better than Steven next week. Not because he is better, but because he is "itching" to get in there and prove he belongs in the NFL. He faces a fairly stout defense (DAL) this week but still should put up decent fantasy numbers

Statistocrat

Did you miss yesterday's blog? "It's MOSS-ome in N.E.."

"It's MOSS-ome in New England"

All day long I hear from "haters" who say that it is inevitable that Randy Moss will eventually "lose it" and turn into the Randy Moss of old. I invest some time to defend the notion that this will not occur (and YES! I have drunk the "kool-aid").

I realize what happened between he and Duante, he and Oakland as a whole, and He vs. Patriot's training camp, however, I think there are five major reasons that he will turn a corner at New England.

1.) The precedent has already been set! (Bryan Cox, Corey Dillon) There have all ready been people who were deemed "selfish and team-breakers" that have come through the organization and changed their approach dramatically.

2.) Veteran Leadership sets the tone on both sides of the ball. There is a reason that Troy Brown is on the roster and it has nothing to do with his ability to play both sides of the ball. When it comes to leadership, Junior Seau, Rodney Harrison, Tedi Bruschi, Tom Brady, Richard Seymour, nor Bill Belicheck himself will not stand for his little tantrums of old.

3.) Too much bling on other's fingers. There are enough Super Bowl diamonds in that locker room, it could support the economy of most third world countries. Like the woman on Napoleon Dynamite who was "excited" about getting a model of a sailing ship when listening to Uncle Rico's sales pitch, Randy "wants that!!!!"

4.) He realizes that there is plenty of talent and competition that he doesn't stand out amongst the crowd...Donte Stallworth, Wes Welker (the hardest working white boy with a WR number), Kelley Washington, Troy Brown, Jabbar Gaffney, and Ben Watson. He has to work harder to get more time..

5.) Although he doesn't get 15 touches...with Tom Brady and arguably the best offensive line in the league, he doesn't have to. He gets 6 - 8 touches, has over 100 receiving yds and 5 TDs in three games.

Say what you will, maybe next year he reverts (call it the "Corey Dillon" syndrome), but for 2007-2008, there won't be any nuclear meltdowns.

Statistocrat

Week 4 ~ "Waiver Wire Watch"

As the season continues, the "pickin's" are gettin' slimmer (or "slimmah" as we "nohthehnehs" say). As the majority of fantasy GMs are lining up their "wish list" on the waiver wire, here is a few to consider to add depth to your line-up. Some will be no-brainers, some will appear as though I don't have one... only time will tell which is true.

QUARTERBACKS:

Kelly Holcomb: It is obvious now that he is at the helm in Minnesota. With weapons of Williamson & Rice (So. Car.), and Chester and Peterson handling the ball, there is a chance that he can produce some great numbers when the match-up is right. He is a journeyman by trade, but the likes of Huard, Kitna, and Schaub make him a viable candidate for the bench. (No, I didn't include Harrington, Garcia, and Green because they have been starters in recent years)

Brett Favre: I can't believe I am doing this but when the man revives his career and it appears he has, you have to jump all over him. Pick him up, play 'em when the match-up is right and use it as bait for the incidents that occur throughout the season (I.E. the cheapshot by Vince Wilfork on J.P. Losman) He has put up stellar numbers to date and there should be no reason he is available, but in many leagues, he will be!

Kurt Warner: If you own Leinart, this should be a no-brainer. He looked exceptionally sharp. Maybe that hand of his is finally healed or maybe he just got lucky, what with the excitement and all. If you are in a two QB league and have some dolt riding shotgun because you didn't draft well, Warner showed he can still be counted on. His history of Arena ball lends itself to quick, concise, even damned near perfect accuracy when he can grip the ball properly.

RUNNINGBACKS:

DeShaun Foster: I predict he will continue to bolster more of the carries as the team struggles, with D. Williams handling kick/punt returns, minimizing his effectiveness in leagues that do not award them touchdown and return yardage. Foster, if healthy, will continue to see the ball and may even reclaim his late run of last season (Six games over 100 yds and a TD). If your bench is weak, pick him up... it can't hurt.

Kevin Jones: Sure he got only two touches and a TD, but he point is he did it in the red zone, not shying away from contact, but running full force at a stacked line to score. Like I said previously, we are about two weeks away from significant Kevin sightings. Grab'em if he's available, if nothing more, he makes a great trade bait to squeeze out two second tier players for a top tier player.

Rueben Droughns: He has seen 2 TDs in three weeks. That is enough to land on someone's roster. The Giants pulled a win out of their behinds and a lot had to do with late running by Ruben. Here is your chance to grab'em and store him tilll he becomes more valuable. Even when Jacobs comes back, it will be slow going at first and Droughns may prove fruitful as Derrick Ward ran a little flat yesterday.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Kevin Curtis: Should he be available? No. But the sheer fact that PHI fell on it's face the first two weeks may have prompted some GMs to drop 'em for the likes of Shaun McDonald or Brandon Marshall. Grab'em while he is hot (and Donovan's new favorite target).

Dwayne Bowe: There isn't much else to throw at out in KC. Bowe is just about it. Gonzalez had 96 yds, but Bowe got the call for the TD catch. Huard will continue to grow and count on him as Kennison is still running behind on health and when available will still be counted on as the third receiver (more of a check down). He is the hot ticket for the moment on a poor defense. The good news is the scheduled slackens in about 3 weeks.. If you can ride him on your bench, do it.

Nate Burleson: I hate this guy, but he appears worth it as Hasselback relies more and more on him (Branch is double-teamed every play, now). He will see his fair share of drops as it has been a historical problem for this receiver, but Hasselback keeps coming back for more. I expect that between Engram who is worse at "dropsies" than Burleson, and Branch's double coverage, that Burleson will have a big fantasy impact in weeks to come.

Greg Jennings: This guy should be available and is the likeliest to be picked up early and often. He has had flashes of excellence and with Driver healthy and burning secondaries, it is only a matter of time before Jennings name is called upon to deliver big blows for this offense. James Jones is still young and shouldn't interfere all too much with Jennings production, once he is 100 percent, he will seem like a free agent steal!!!

TIGHT ENDS:

Chris Baker: Am I finally getting through to you that this guy is ligit? He has as many TDs as the typical fantasy TE leaders, yet has done it with less yardage. When this offense really picks up, so will his participation. With the focus on Coles and Cotchery, Baker is gradually slipping into that "Ben Watson" role of dependable, available, and trustworthy on those short yardage attempts.

Bubba Franks: This all depends on how Favre continues with his season. With Driver and Jennings healthy(er), the running back tandem of Wynn and Jackson improving, and the simple heroics of Favre, Franks is shooting up the TE charts. Pick him up if you have a fantasy bus on your hands (So far, Vernon Davis, Randy McMichael, and Heath Miller)

Good luck, and happy hunting. May your waiver wire be profitable and your season be one filled with championship written all over it.

Statistocrat

Fantasy Football ~ Week 3: "Sit'em"

Here are my picks for this week's "Sit'em" installment. Again, I preface that I am not here to pick the obvious players, but those that are borderline starters or have key match-ups that will affect their outcome (although, there are a few "big names" like Larry Johnson on Week 2 Sit'em, and a few "head-scratchers" [like Brett Favre on my Week 2 Start'em] that I throw out there from time to time)

This week should be no different. Many of you will disagree with me and that is okay.. it is what makes fantasy football and the blogging community so great!

QUARTERBACKS:

Tony Romo: I can hear it all now, your head twisting off of your neck as you read this name. No offense (I have him in several leagues), but Romo and the boys will struggle against a strong Chicago defense. Will the Cowboys win the game? Most likely. But the question here is, how will Tony do fantasy-wise. He may get close to 200 yds and maybe pop a TD, but I think that if you have a solid back-up with a more favorable match-up, you go with your bench QB.

Matt Schaub: I don't play him for two reasons. One, Andre Johnson is hurt, leaving him with lesser alternatives to put points on the board. Second, one name...Bob Sanders. I have nicknamed him "Bob the Nailer" (See Point of Impact, now a movied "Shooter"). This guy is simply ri-DONK-ulous. With the pass-rush of the Indy defense and the speed of the linebackers to keep the sidelines monitored, lastly, with "Bob the Nailer" coming in to destroy any screens or swing-passes out of the backfield, I don't see this as a promising day for Schaub.

Matt Leinart: Many things pop into my head, the first of which is the likes of Ray Lewis and Ed Reed. Then I turn to Larry Fitzgerald and his inability to go to the ball but instead waiting for the ball to come to him. The ever-growing but still lack-luster of an offensive line. Then the biggest impact. This is a team that wants to run to open the pass...in Baltimore? Not so much. Will Leinart be great? Maybe not. Will he be a top QB in a few years, quite possibly. Sunday will not be a career-defining moment, I assure you.

Derek Anderson: As Flavor Flav used to say, "Don't Believe The Hype". If you think you are some fantasy guru and found the steal of the century, sit down on a bench, pick up your chocolates and start telling stories, Forrest Gump, because you didn't. If he is your option for QB this week, you have given someone a carefree weekend...your opposing GM. Oakland was Numero Uno in passing defense categories last year.... not much has changed except a new coach, new life on offense, and a leaner, meaner defensive line.

RUNNINGBACKS:

Marion Barber III: He has always been hit or miss... This week, I think he will miss. The Chicago defense is based on stuff'em football, Sunday should be no exception. I just don't see him getting it done this week. He has not done well in his limited history against Chicago and expect the trend to continue.

Edgerrin James: He is on this list for the very same reason that Matt Leinart is... the Baltimore Defense. I line-covering, runningback-blanketing, ball-hawking front seven, I anticipate the youth of the offensive line wearing out and making short work of the Arizona running game. As a point of fact, I believe you may end up seeing more Marcel Shipp than Edge if the o-line breaks down too much.

DeShawn Wynn: He has surpassed Brandon Jackson on the depth charts. He will get a reality check this Sunday. Why? Great question, because he is facing Shawne and his "Merry-men" of bone-crushing defenders. This is the game that the Packer's fans come back to earth. I believe that last week was humiliating and a pact will be sworn (in blood, perhaps) that it won't happen again. When it is all over, Wynn will be beat up and Jackson will have shared half the load.

Thomas Jones: Coming off a leg injury is hard, trying to do it while Jason Taylor and Zach Thomas beat on you and your 2nd string QB is darn-near impossible. Thomas will have a fairly active game, 65-75 yds but I don't see a TD in his forecast this week. He will work up to speed, maybe week 5 to consider him confident in both legs and Clemens (unless "Gimpy" Pennington comes back).

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Calvin Johnson: I realize his capabilities and the potent offense that Detroit is mustering up, but do you think that Andy Reid is going to let his staff get down 0-3 and be out of the playoff chase after Week 3? Not likely. Philadelphia has a great secondary (is Brian Dawkins down for awhile? If so, this could change Calvin being on or off this list). If in fact Dawkins is down for the count, then start Calvin, but even if this is the case, I don't see him having that productive of a week.

Andre Johnson: The Houston team wants to keep Indy on their toes, if they can help it, they will place him as "questionable or at worst, doubtful", giving the Indy cover 2 something to think about. However, even if he did make it on the field, he is no better off physically than Pennington. The reason he is on here as that as of now, they haven't called him "out" of the game.

Marques Colston: Tennessee' D is for real, maybe not fantasy-wise, but in reality, they have a strong front seven who punishes the runners (sorry Deuce, Reggie). I expect that they are pumped about their showing against Indy and it will carry over to this week. I don't expect more than 65 yds out of Colston. Heck, Eric Johnson will see more work this week than Marques.

Darrell Jackson: He always has at least 2 weeks a year that he doesn't show up... Against Mike Tomlin's destructive 4-3 defense, I see this as one of them. The 49ers are going to learn a lot this week, one of them is how to get the ball in when there really isn't a chance. They will also learn how to lick their wounds, watch tape, and learn a ton about themselves and their offensive weaknesses. The defense will keep them in the game, but the offense just won't get it done... Arnez Battle will have a better fantasy week than Jackson.

TIGHT ENDS:

Alge Crumpler: He, single-handedly, misses Vick the most. He will see nothing at Carolina that resembles his former self with Vick at the helm. With a week or three, Leftwich up there, he may be more inclined to throw to Alge, but for now, expect Alge to be the 6th lineman more than not...

Vernon Davis: Vernon completes the SanFran Sit'em section as they face the Pittsburgh Steelers. He hasn't quite found his role in the offense (or at least Alex Smith hasn't). Gore will keep PIT busy, but there is too much speed and talent on their defense for Davis to get the best of him. If Gore can get them in scoring range, he may get a chance at a goalline attempt, but with the 4-3 of Tomlin's, I won't guarantee he gets a chance to catch it.

This week brings some big names to my Sit'em section of the blog. Like'em or leave'em, these are my opinions. Look for my Waiver Wire Watch blog on Monday night!

Statistocrat

Fantasy Football ~ Week 3: "Start'em"

Here we go again, sports fans! For all of you that have been reading my blogs, you can agree that with the exception of a player a week (Week 1 ~ Randy Moss; Week 2 ~ Jerricho Cotchery), I have been fairly accurate when it comes to Start'em and Sit'em. Does that mean I am an expert, NO! But it does mean that at this point, hopefully, some validity can be placed on my opinions.

Today, I will venture into what I believe are the best Start'ems available. (Sub-note, I only talk about those that are typically "bench and bye-week" players, realizing you are all intelligent enough to know who your basic starting lineup should be).

QUARTERBACKS:

Jason Campbell: Here is Jason's first chance at big, BIG numbers. Too all those who pledge allegiance to Giants Nation, I am sorry that I am bashing your defense so much, but you can't disguise injuries in your starting line-up in the NFL. Randel El and Moss, Portis and Betts, and Chris Cooley, make for fantastic options as the 'Skins play host to the New York Football Giants. I anticipate Jason put up over 250 yds and 3 TDs, with one being a swing pass to the RB or a quick slant to Cooley early. Randel El will have a bigger day than Moss as they can't double team both due to Cooley's talent.

Josh McCown: I was right about Brett Favre getting the start last week and I believe (as long as he is healthy) that Josh is a great start this week. Cleveland is by far a great defense nor have they shown any signs that they are even "good" defense. With the speed of Curry & Porter and what appears to be a rejuvenated RB in LaMont Jordan (trying to make a name of himself while D. Rhodes serves his suspension), this looks very, very promising for all those GMs that picked him up early to replace your drafted backup QB.

Kyle Boller: I know, I am picking all the "big names", huh? If there was a chance for Boller to shine, it's Week 3. Arizona has shown that they are susceptible to just about anything on any given Sunday. If Kyle plays his cards right, this could be the week that the Cardinals show their defensive weakness in passing. Clayton looks 85-90% healthy and Heap is doing his typical thing out of the TE position. McGahee has shown that he can work within a north/south offense (sort of). If you have Tony Romo, J.P. Losman, this may be a good option as they face some tough Ds.

Jeff Garcia: He is proving his value, fantasy-wise, week by week. He has knack for keeping the chains moving, hitting receivers, and gaining the benefit from YAC statistics. He is up against the poor secondary of STL and should see a lot of opportunity. Expect 200 yds and at least 1 or 2 TDs. I anticipate that this will be one of his better fantasy weeks as the match-up suits his style of play.

RUNNINGBACKS:

Cedric Benson: Typically, I feel this guy is over-rated. He is doing better than he has in the past (43 attempts for 143 yds, 3.3 per carryso far). These aren't spectacular numbers by any stretch, but facing a defense that has struggled to stop the run (Dallas) allows me to give him the nod this week to start. For those who drafted him as your top RB, this is a no brainer, but in some leagues, Ronnie Brown, Cadillac Williams, and Benson have been Top 15 at best. Look for 100 yds and a TD from Cedric this week.

DeShaun Foster: I always have high hopes for DeShaun but his injury-plagued career has prevented me from drafting him. He faces an Atlanta defense that has struggled to define them. They have a great, young backfield and some pretty quick guys up front, but the line-backing corp. has let them down in recent history. Foster could see some productive numbers, especially through the air. I anticipate 80-85 yds on the ground with anywhere from 30-45 yds in the air. He should see the end zone at least once this coming Sunday.

Adrian Peterson (MIN): With Chester Taylor nursing a litany of injuries, here is yet another chance for the youngster to prove his worth. 100(run) & 50(receive) yds isn't entirely impossible against a KC defense that will most likely be playing from behind most of the game. With the instability of the QB (Tavaris Jackson), I anticipate that Adrian could see the end zone two times, one in the air, one on the ground. This could be another big fantasy week like he had on week one. [He was my first overall pick in my 3-player keeper league.)

Cadillac Williams: With the Garcia/Galloway connection developing and Cadillac apparently with his knees healthy, this could be a turning point for the young stud RB. Many a fantasy GMs, I believe, will feel rewarded for "taking the chance" on him. The hardest part was dismissing his 2006 performance (Hard, I know, but that is why I got him in the 4th/5th round in soooo many leagues this year). Jeff gives stability to an offense that has been anything but since their SB win the first year of "Chuckies" tenure in TB. STL better put up some serious points if they expect to walk away with a win. Williams easily rings up 100+ yds and a TD. He is also developing quite a knack for getting open for the screen and making serious headway towards the end zone.

Derrick Ward: Ahhh, Ward. I won't say it is easy to run against a revived WAS defense, I am simply saying that he will get the opportunity, what he does with it depends on how well Coughlin's his offensive attack. He may not touch 100 yds, but he will certainly rack up at least 50 receiving and have more than one shot at an end zone touchdown.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Vincent Jackson: He proved he could catch... He proved he could play... Can L.T. show up enough that Rivers can take more than 3 shots at this big, up-and-comer in the SD offense? GB is not a place you want to be if you are proto-typical running back; But L.T. is anything but that. I realize that Chicago and New England kept him in check. Did you expect anything less from arguably the number 1 and number 3 defense (Baltimore, 2nd)? Gates, L.T. AND V/Jax will get their chance to shine this week and redeem an abysmal start. I don't expect 100 yds, although it is possible, but I expect him to make some big plays, even a touchdown could be in his future. 80-90 yds is a reasonable expectation, a touchdown would be icing on the cake.

Jacoby Jones: Andre Johnson is hurt (NO!!! Really? He has never had an injury problem...NOT!) I stopped drafting A.J. because I could trade for him the day he got hurt... it may be the case, yet again. Jacoby will run alongside Kevin Walters and he should thank A.J. for the opportunity. Kevin Walters should be angry, because Jones has a chance to outshine him in a big way, even securing the number two slot right from under Walters nose. Schaub likes the kid, his speed, his willingness to go and get the ball. With Walters not scaring anyone, Jacoby will not have a huge game, but could be enough that he helps you to a "W".

Roydell Williams: It's official! We have found Vince Young's favorite receiver. If Roydell can stay on the field (injury-prone), he could be the biggest fantasy pick-up of the year. I have done exactly that in many, many of my leagues. He should flashes last year and should make a lot of Brandon Jones drafters upset if they don't jump on this kid fast. I anticipate many 0' 100 yd games with a TD in this kids future. Don't blink, he will be gone from the free agent pool soon enough. Go get'em, start'em, and look like a fantasy guru in the process.

Kevin Curtis: I realize Reggie Brown is the "go to guy", however, when it counted, Mc"Shame" threw it to Kevin each time. Jason Avant is another up-and-comer for the Eagles, but with Donavan still nursing that knee, he is less mobile and very inaccurate (wide open shot to Curtis and simply overthrew him.) If anyone is going to get a chance to catch the "ducks" that McNabb is throwing, Curtis seems to be the best bet (if you don't count Westbrook in the equation).

TIGHT ENDS:

Owen Daniels: Another receiver who has a chance to benefit (more, I believe) from the absence of A.J. Owen is the 2nd leading reciever on the team and just become a "can't-miss" start for now and the near future (who knows how long A.J. will milk THIS injury). They are up against a underrated IND defense (Bob Sanders is a "M-animal"!!!). Look for 65+ yds and a TD from this undervalued TE.

Chris Baker: Kellen Clemens will need that fail-safe check down... Chris is ready for that call. With Thomas Jones still chalked on the flightline and most defenses focused on the tandem of Coles and Cotchery, Baker is the heir apparent to a great many touches to come. I know the Miami front seven is tough...but that doesn't meant they are fast. If Eric is the "Man-genius" (I call him a crybaby snitch), they he takes advantage of this and really works Baker into the mix, early and often.

Due to the nature of fantasy football and the most common practice of grab a D/ST and Kicker in the last four picks, it really isn't worth going into details on these two positions. If you want my personal opinion, simply email me (click my name below).

Good Luck with your rosters, I hope that my outlook helps you to make those tough decisions of starters over backups and why you chose to do it.

STATISTOCRAT

"Dallas went fishing...landed a whale"

The Cowboys defensive needs are two-fold; Plug the middle (run defense) and add speed to the secondary.

The Cowboy's have been fishing for these answers in the free-agent waters and in the past 24 hours, landed one heck of a whale. Terry "Tank" Johnson has agreed to join the Cowboys and work towards social redemption and career rejuvination.


There are a ton of jokes out their surrounding the Cowboy's past regarding the crimes and felonies, drug use, and assorted off-field antics, of which I will not go into... it is a route that many will travel and few will be seen in anything less than the typical media "stream" (to continue with my fishing analogy).

Look, I don't care who you are, you can always redeem yourself, it just doesn't happen for most in the same career and with the same bright future as Tank has. Why? Cause he has millions of dollars and the body that can stop a steam locomotive, that's why.

Once his suspension is up, the Cowboy's will need him to come up to speed as quick as possible. There is not doubt that he will be fairly fit (the proto-typical view of men working out in prison) and I assume that with this deal, they will forward some form or facet of a playbook to him... [maybe not, it might end up with some sort of gambling conspiracy on their hands if they do].

I don't think that Vick will have this same luxury (depending on sentence and suspension) which is crazy when you consider that Vick killed animals (not condoning it, just stating it simply) and Tank is involved with guns, drugs, and shootings, which kills people. What a crazy, left-wing world we live in... but THAT is another discussion all-together.

All in all, I think this is HUGE for the Cowboys who have post-season aspirations. If you can sure up that front seven, it will make up for some of the secondaries weaknesses (speed, mostly). With a strong front seven, it wears on an offense, decreases "clock management" of your opponents, and increases pressure on passing which decreases the potential for WRs to get behind the secondary... the opposing QB just won't have the time to step back, plant, and throw with great accuracy.


FANTASY IMPACT: This will make the Dallas D/ST a "sexy" pick for waiver wires, trades, and line-up decisions for the second half of the season. It also increases the offensive potential of the QB, RB tandem, WR & TE corp. to produce more....More time available, more points. More likely to be ahead, more calculated and calm. You get the picture. They still need to get someone on the sidelines (CB) to help disguise the lack of speed that Roy Williams has at the safety position...He hits like a linebacker, but runs like Maurice Clarett at the Combine.

Statistocrat

Atlanta "Left..wich" No Other Options...

Okay... So the Joey Harrington experiment is coming to a close. I still think he is a solid quarterback, unfortunately, he forgets to let the ball go when there are, I don't know, six or seven bodies coming right at him from the opposite team.

Joey Harrington has been known as a "thinking quarterback". I don't disagree with it, it's just that there comes a time when you think and decide to read the progressions that you are good at, dump it off to the right guy or get rid of it... Not the case with Joey who overthinks and hesitates... which is career-death to NFL QBs, regardless of who you are and what type of talent you are surrounded with.

This is not to say that Leftwich doesn't have the same problem, including the additions of poor ankles and a fat belly to waddle around with (I mean really, your a freakin' NFL QB, could you at least put the effort and act like it... you do not have enough talent to make it on this fact alone.) and the offensive line isn't going to miraculously become better because he is there.

They struggle in all area's of offense, which is to be expected, as they get used to Petrino, his offense, his mind-set, and his way of doing things. They are rebuilding (now that Vick is gone... wouldn't have been the case otherwise). Let's not jump on the ATL band-wagon, but let's prepare for a late season surge that I believe would have come with Joey or now with the potential for Byron to come into the mix.

FANTASY IMPACT: Well, pick him up if you think this improves the ATL offense. Personally, the only one it will definitely impact is Crumpler as Leftwich will have to lean heavily on him, if in fact, he earns the starting job. Dunn and Norwood should pick up a head of steam either way, but with Leftwich, there is a little more mobility, potentially freezing up some, let me re-instate, "some" linebackers. This is a "wait and see" decision, not to be jumped on unless you have no one else to turn to for a back-up.

Statistocrat

Fantasy Baseball: "El Duque not okay"

Just days after getting Pedro back from the D/L, increasing the chances of the Mets securing their first ring since the 86' series (where the Red Sox got "Bucknered"), "El Duque" has landed himself in D/L . Fitted for a "boot" to protect his ankle, it appears that he will not make another appearance during the regular season.

With a litany of over-achieving pitching veterans, the Mets find themselves in the same situation they have been in for the past few years, "pitching" woes.

Tom Glavine has done a fair job of holding down the forte while the tandem of young Johne Maine and a somewhat revived Oliver Perez continues to play "hit or miss". Mike Pelfrey will do will in the number 4 or 5 slot, but it is the tandem of Orlando and Pedro that the team has been resting their laurels on.

The hopes of the Metropolitan fans is that it isn't serious/long term and they can have him back before the playoffs begin (or at lteast become difficult.) If they can walk into the divisional playoffs with Glavine, Martinez, Hernandez, Maine, and Perez, they have a great chance of walking away with it in the N.L.

The Mets have a great lineup, both hitting for power and average, with speed on the base paths and a hunger to make it happen this year (There are some aging veterans at the plate as well ~ Carlos Delgado, Shawne Green, Moises Alou). The bullpen looks like they can get the job done, with Pelfrey, Mota, Sele, and Heilman all capable of the middle relief and or set-up man for firey Billy Wagner (no meltdowns please.).

All in all, I think that this could be an 11 year wait for the rematch of the Red Sox and The Mets. Being a Sox fan, I would love the chance for redemption... and finally lay to rest poor Billy Buckner and the drama he has withstood for years.

The Phillies are getting hotter by the day, only 1 1/2 games out of the division lead and the Mets have an identical record with San Diego, making the impact of the injury that much more of an impact. All you Mets fans, cross your fingers, eyes, arms, legs, toes if you can, and break out your voodoo dolls, cuz' you're gonna' need all the you can muster to get into the playoffs. Once you get there, your chances improve simply based on your "series" wins during the regular season with most of your competition.

Will the Mets do it to themselves again? (They need "El Duque") Are the Red Sox far behind? (Where is Manny?) Could both wind up out of the playoffs?

I don't it, but you never can tell with these teams.

Statistocrat

"Waiver Wire Watch"

Here is my review of Week 3’s "Waiver Wire Watch". I have included those who should be added to your roster as well as some of those that you should stay away from. I realize that many leagues had their waiverwire last night, however, I am awaiting my lovely "Time Warner Cable" representative to grace my humble abode, get their crap together, and take care of my internet service (Had to move my office, my two year old claimed the bigger room! The audacity!!!).


QUARTERBACKS:

Jeff Garcia ~ If for nothing else, he is one of the premiere fantasy back-up quarterbacks. He has shown time and time again that he can manage a football game with crisp prediction of WRs route-running ability as well as to long range threats (See Joey Galloway). Tampa Bay’s defense is over-achieving right now; As long as they continue, Jeff has a chance to put up some fantasy numbers week in and week out.

Matt Schaub ~ Is he the real deal? As long as the defense keeps producing like it is and the offensive line continues to give him a chance… I guess so! I am very weary of back-up to starter roles in their first year (or in general) which is why I refuse to draft Kitna (and his 3rd concussion). Schaub has shown me that he can manage a game, even from his back. Ahman Green isn’t running like a thirty-something and the WR corp. has been fairly productive to date. Before you do sign him (as a back-up), check on Andre Johnson’s ankle injury. If the injury to A.J. does prove to be severe, simply lay-off picking him up for now. If he was available now, he will be available later. (If A.J. does have a sizeable injury, try and make a trade for him… give away a top/second tier to keep that GM moving forward, ride him on the bench till his recovery.)

WHO NOT…

Derek Anderson ~ I realize his monster day, but it was against an over-achieving CIN defense. With the upcoming schedule, expect Anderson to come back to earth, AND HARD. The Browns are going to run up against OAK, BAL, NE, and MIA over the next four weeks. Not very promising when you consider these defensive squads and their ability to defend the pass. Don’t hop on the Anderson bandwagon for another four weeks at the very least, if not at all.

Kyle Boller ~ Someone has to be the quarterback of the Ravens, but that doesn’t mean he needs to be on your fantasy team. Those seeking depth will be disappointed by Boller's inconsistancy. (If you haven’t figured that out all ready, give the Commissioner your money and bow out gracefully, taking your lack of aptitude with you… the league will be better off without your further interference.)

RUNNINGBACKS:

Sammy Morris ~ If you own Maroney, this is a must! Morris is quickly moving up the "Marion Barber" charts. He has seen more touches from "20 – End zone" than Maroney to this point. He is a tough bruiser who loves the north/south game but also has the ability to catch out of the backfield. He spent time in Buffalo & Miami so he knows his "classmates" in the division. Expect his role to grow, not truly diminishing Maroney’s role too much, but enough for Morris to land on your bench and play on key defensive match-ups.

Kevin Jones ~ Sorry Tatum Bell fans, but we are about 1 week away from a Kevin Jones sighting and about 2 – 3 weeks before he takes significant touches away from Tatum. They will share the load like half the teams in the NFL (making the true RB studs that more important to your lineup). If Jones stays healthy and Kitna's head remains intact, coupled with a great WR corp., he can make an impact. (Now, if only they had an offensive line). Expect a QB change by week 5-6 if the o-line continues to allow Kitna to be punished like his is right now. (It is almost a given that Kitna will kiss the dirt too many times and likely receive another punishing blow that will give him concussion number 4 or more).

DeShawn Wynn ~ I don’t like to say this, but Brandon Jackson (on half of my rosters) may not be the guy [this year]. Wynn is a bruiser with speed, who may play a bigger role than Jackson (another "Barber" candidate. Jackson and Morency will likely share touches with Wynn complementing the running tandem necessary for GB to be affective. If you have room on your bench, grab him and monitor his progress. If you don’t act now, someone else will.

WHO NOT…

Julius Jones ~ The 400 lb. Gorilla is officially in the room. How long before Jones becomes ultimately dispensable? I believe he will be a Cowboy for the year, maybe even next year, but Barber is clearly a cut above when it comes to shiftiness and "game-time speed". If he is available, leave him there until he does something worthy of consideration. If he isn’t, giggle to yourself as another GM wastes a perfectly good bench position.

Jerius Norwood ~ It should be apparent that 1) Warrick Dunn is "the guy" in Atlanta and 2) That doesn’t mean much fantasy-wise, except that Norwood will play another "could’a, would’a been" season. Dunn is to Norwood what Favre is to Rodgers… an ancient, unmovable hurdle impeding their NFL career. Don’t be fooled by the occasional breakout run… it won’t amount to much more than that.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Shaun McDonald ~ Is there a ton of talent at the WR Corp. (C. Johnson, R. Williams)? The answer is "Yes". But that is good news for McDonald who is a great route-running, sure-handed, third option who isn’t afraid to run an slate across the middle and take monster hits to secure his role on the offense. He is going to have great worth as a 4th WR on your team, filling in for bye weeks and when matched against weak defensive secondaries.

Marty Booker ~ At a 111 yrs. old, this guy can still get it done (as long as Chris Chambers shows up). Last year, He was consistently productive (fantasy points). He has shown that same consistency early on this year. He is a veteran who understands the Miami offense and reads defenses well. He isn’t arrogant like Chambers, so he is more included to come and help Trent Green out with blitz adjustments, coming towards the QB and the ball (unlike Chambers who will wait ~ lazy) making him a viable receiving option. With a poor running game (Ronnie who?) and an lack luster offensive line, Booker can be a great pick-up if you had a poor WR showing on draft day. (without depth)

Wes Welker ~ Is he still available? Why? What more does he have to do besides be the 2nd in receptions and TDs for a potent NE offense? (Did you see the back step he put on Quentin Jammer? OH MY!!!!)

Joe Jurevicius ~ When healthy, this guy produces fantasy points, even for the Cleveland Browns. With Winslow, Edwards, and Lewis the focus of many o’ defensive squads, expect him to be another consistent fantasy producer this year (part of the "Marty Booker" Club). The problem is his age and durability. Snag him to add depth at WR… (Get rid of those Atlanta WRs you were praying would make an impact)

WHO NOT…

Nate Burleson ~ He always does this!!! Gets a few touchdowns early in the season to get the fantasy GMs juices flowing. There’s a flurry at the"waiver wire line of scrimmage". One guy comes out with the player and celebrates the fumble by other GMs... Just remember what the Pats did to SD when they recovered the fumbled punt return from Ellis Hobbs III! (In case you were one of maybe 3 people in the country NOT WATCHING IT, it ended with a 4th and 40!!!) Expect the same feeling of disappointment if you add him to your roster.

TIGHT ENDS:

Chris Baker ~ I am still touting this guy as an up-and-comer. He has 2 TDs to date, matching the likes of most top fantasy TEs, with only the YDs being significantly different. With Cotchery and Coles taking up the defensive backfields time, expect Bakers role to grow substantially with Kellen Clemens at the helm. Young QBs love their TE.

Matt Spaeth ~ Will he make more of a fantasy impact than Heath Miller? It appears so! If you have Miller, you may want to consider swapping them. It appears that they are running more Twin-TE sets with the defense focusing on Miller, giving Spaeth a chance to make a name in the fantasy world. If you have a weak backup TE, Spaeth may prove helpful to your bye week or key match-up.

KICKERS:

Jay Hansen ~ He is getting the opportunities more than most, if for nothing more than that, he still has the leg to go 40-50 YDs and put it through the uprights.

Shaun Suisham ~ As long as WAS keeps doing what they are doing, this kid could have a monster year. He is getting his attempts and making them, especially when they count. If you have someone who has a potent offense and will see more PATs than FGs, you may consider the swap, especially after Shaun’s bye-week. (It will also give you a better barometer as to how the Redskins will fair, long term.)

WHO NOT…

Sebastian Janikowski ~ Did I have to include him? Yes… because he is the Mike "Vander-jerk" of the NFL this year… This is what happens when you mix football with the drug "E" and piercing your crotch!!!!

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS:

Green Bay Packers ~ I will be the first to admit I thought Week 1 was a fluke. They faced ½ a McNabb and a poor PHI offense. then they faced an injury-plagued team in the NYG. With that being said, it shouldn’t take away from what this team is doing. They have some tough games but not near as hard as many "playoff hopefuls". If you have the Dallas Cowboys or got sold on the 49ers defense, grab and run.

Houston Texans ~ Is it all smoke in mirrors? Some may say so, but I believe that the youth at the defensive line and some key "second-tier" free agent pick-ups makes this team better. They also believe in Schaub and their offense, which makes them want to work harder. Mario Williams has stepped up now that their first round draft pick of 07 is out-working him. Their schedule has some tough, tough games (IND next week, SD week 8), but have some great defensive match-ups too.

Hope this information helps you solidify your week 3 line-up, your depth chart, and your playoff hopes.

Statistocrat

Check out my personal blog: http://fantasyfan-addicts.blogspot.com/

"News of Note"

"Bad Boy" Billy

I love that people who are shocked that Bill Belicheck is less than honarable. The man cheated on his wife, left her with their kids (although grown), has no personality, and will shove ANYONE out of the way that is blocking him from achieving his goals. He refuses to deal with anyone on their terms, solely his own (See Ty Law, Lawyor Milloy, Asante Samuel, Troy Brown). He is a winner, sometimes by default, sometimes by skill, and YES!, sometimes by cheating. He is a "do what needs to be done" kind of man. None of the news comes as a shock to me.

I appreciate that he is willing to accept full blame, not dispursing it to this is coach or that coach, the ownership, not even using the "everyone else is doing it" card that so many people use as justification. Funny, integrity at one point but not at others.

The best part about it is that Eric "Man-genius" is the guy who called him out on the carpet. How very impressive! Such a man of integrity, huh? If this were the case, knowing full-well what Bill does as he was the benefactor of it, receiving all he owes, career-wise to the man, then why did you wait till it was against you? Why not bring it to the league when you were witness and benefited from it? Where was your sense of integrity then? Heck, he has his job because of the very thing he "tattled" on.

The fines have been levied, the penalty of draft picks assigned, yet people still want more? Do you really believe that suspending him will really amount to a hill of beans? He will practice the game plan all week, then allow his coordinators to run the game... the only thing that would change on Sunday is not having a beat-up, hooded sweatshirt on the sideline and the red flag would be in someone else's sock. And no, you can't stricken the win from the records, one, it is unprecedented (this is not the first time a coach has been caught cheating...check out the 49ers in the mid-50s) and this cameraman was ejected half-way through the first quarter and had no real affect on the immediate game. As a matter of fact, most of it has no affect on the game at hand, it is for the next time they play anyways.

As a die-hard Patriots fan, seeing the moral integrity of the team get knocked down another notch (See "One Up, One Down" regarding Rodney Harrison) kills me. Truthfully, this story is bigger than it should be, not to down-play the whole thing, but it is bigger because of the winning ways of the Patriots over the past 6 years as well as the awareness that the Patriots are hated fairly universally and have become the Yankees of the NFL. If this was the Detroit Lions, it wouldn't be as big a story and probably wouldn't even have received as much of a penalty.

All in all, it is a sad story, especially when you consider the steroid issue in Baseball, the officiating in the NBA, and now the cheating in the NFL. I think Commissioner Goodell did a great job in not only applying an appropriate penalty, but for acting swiftly and without "much biased". Will this destroy the Patriots? No. But it will add to the all ready mounting hate for the team and the organization as a whole.

FANTASY IMPACT: I personally believe this does not change the fantasy impact of the defense and/or offense of the Patriots. The decision DOES affect the future of the organization as it will likely lose a first round pick (most likely will make the playoffs), however, if they don't make the playoffs, I believe it will hurt more...the organization relishes the 2nd and 3rd round picks more than the first. They have excellent scouting ability which renders solid talent in the 2nd-4th round with less impact on the payroll. The real question to ask is this... Will Scott Pioli stick around with all the negativity that will likely be associated to him as well. This might end the Pioli-Belicheck connection for the future, especially since Bill took away Pioli's power....draft picks.





"Oden injury revealed"

This hurts! Both to Oden's future (most, with exception of Amare Stoudamire, have done poorly or less than they are capable, after such a surgery) as well as the Portland Trailblazers as an organization. I don't believe they are regretting the pick of Greg, but it has to hurt to see all that investment go down the drain. It will have an affecton the parque at least for this season and most likely half of next. This is not as bad as the Celtics losing Lenny Bias back in the late 80's, or Reggie Lewis in the early 90's, but it has a similar impact on the organization and it's players.

Personally, I am pulling for this guy. I think he played under extreme scrutiny during his only stint in the NCAA, playing almost completely with his left hand (right-handed) all while under the spot-light of media, both audio and visual. When drafted, he didn't go straight for the bling, but chose to live at home, bought a "middle class" ride, and started to work at his profession. He has been littered with injuries, from his hand in college, his thigh during summer session, now this micro-fracture surgery on his knee.

Look at Antonio McDyess, Allen Houston, and Jamal Mashburn. All of them went in for the same surgery, leaving only Antonio to make a return to the NBA. He is less of a player than he was before the surgery (Tyress Thomas was compared to McDyess, coming into the NBA) and the only reason he is back is because it was done at an early age (23), unlike the others. With this, I hope that Oden does what he does best, fight through injury and adversity. He is a young (although looks 40) man and has shown the ability to stay focused, determined, and willing to do what it takes to succeed.

FANTASY IMPACT: Because the basketball season hasn't started, it only appears to affect "keeper leagues". The team will rebound and have another near-miss at the playoffs, something that was thought to be a guarantee with Oden on the floor. If you are in fact in a basketball keeper league, draft him with your last pick, ride him all year long and get paid in the 2008-2009 season. Other than that, he will go undrafted in all seasonal leagues.





"Cowboys fishing in the TANK"

After the loss of NT Jason Furgeson, news around many football circles is that the Dallas Cowboys have gone fishing in the tank. It appears they are in communication with Tank Williams regarding his services once his suspension has been cleared (and I guess all of his off-field interaction with law enforcement).

Is there a possibility he will go to Dallas. Why not? Someone, somewhere is going to put the guy on their squad, knowing his talent (did you see the holes in the Cowboy's D-line against NYG?). There will always be a black plague when it comes to his "character and integrity" or at least until he shows otherwise, but I believe that this would be the ideal spot for Tank to land. They are big bruisers on the D-line, needing someone to get in there, plug up the middle, and wreak havoc on their opponent's running backs and offensive schemes.

FANTASY IMPACT: Look, the guy still has time to serve, in more ways than one, but this would be a huge find for the Dallas Defense and the teams aspirations for a NFL Championship trophy. Unfortunately, they still need to focus on speed in their defensive backfield. I believe that Roy Williams has shown that he lacks football knowledge, and the closing speed necessary to be the impact player he was drafted to be. They need to get speed and get it fast.


"Olsen On The Mend"

News out of the Chicago camp is that rookie TE Greg Olsen is practicing. Although limited, he is making great strides. Give him another week or two and he will be at least90% healthy and ready to get back on the field and make an impact.

Desmond Clark is old, but serviceable until the young, spry Olsen can get back on the field. Once he returns, it will improve the ability for Cedric Benson to get out of the backfield as more attention needs to be paid to the TE position, in and out of the redzone. Additionally, it gives shaky Rex Grossman a chance to have a more productive, more trustworthy(as well as potentially dangerous) checkdown.

FANTASY IMPACT: If he is undrafted or dropped in your league, go ahead and add him now to your waiver-wire/roster. Give him a few weeks (2, at best) and everyone will be searching their free agent pool for this kid and you will be able to giggle with glee as you put your number 1 TE "on the block" for those scroungers. They will give up a second-tier WR or a back-up RB when they are hurting for TE and you have depth.


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Fantasy Football ~ Week 2: "Start'em"

As stated in my previous blog, I am going to give you my "Sit'em" and "Start'em" opinions for each coming week. Most of these are not the obvious, top tier players, but focused on those who are most likely on your "depth charts" for the tough games that your starters match-up against. (Ex. L.T. vs. Chicago Defense last week). Here are my suggested "Start'em"s based upon match-up, historical vs. data, and health.


QB Vince Young: Let me start by saying, I am impressed with Vince Young, but still not "bought in" yet... their offense has a long way to go, however, they have a ton of above-average talent at the RB position and it is entirely possible to run agains Indy. With the loss of "Booger" McFarland, the Colts defense is using a lot of backfield assistance to make stops. This is something that you can't do if you are playing Tennessee. Young and his mobility, as well as arm strength, will force Indy to change it's approach. V.Y. like Reggie Bush changes your approach. You can't simply through Bob Sanders at every run play, or V.Y. will burn you with his arm and a young corp. of speedy WR.

QB Brett Favre: (I can't believe I am suggesting this!) For all those of you that drafted him, here is your chance to save some face. Favre is facing an injured defensive squad, the New York Football Giants. Their defense looks like Swiss Cheese and Duct tape, with holes everywhere and patches where their isn't a big whole. Driver is fairly healthy, Jennings is expected to play, and James Jones looks good. Expect Favre to get picked off like usual, but he is playing like he wants to win and when a guy like Brett demonstrates the ability to make passes while being parallel with the ground, you know his teammates will get pumped up.

QB David Garrard: This "Jeckle and Hide" offense has a great chance to build some confidence as it comes up against Atlanta this week. Although the defense is young, they are fast and hungry. The problem is that there is no offense (Harrington is not the savior). Expect Jags to get out to an early lead and Garrard with his feet, his arm, and his ever-growing ability to manage from the QB position to bring you a solid return.

RB Chris Brown: I don't think last week was a fluke (the zillion rushing yards, yes, but not the ability to break tackles and move the chains). Although he and White will still share touches, Brown is facing the Indy defense and has a great opportunity to build on last week's performance, gaining more confidence from coaches and players. He is more elusive than White and will therefore be able to avoid the crushing blows of the Indy secondary.

RB Deuce McCallister: I have him on many teams...why? Because he puts up 1100 YDs and 7 - 10TDs with or without R.Bush. The Saints have a chance to redeem themselves as they face a flailing defense (TB). Expect Sean Payton to use McCallister more on the north/south running, saving R.Bush to come in on 3rd downs as well as swing out and line-up in the slot. Deuce is due.

RB Brandon Jackson: He is the real deal, he just needs time to develop. This, however, shouldn't stop you from starting him this week. He is facing the NY "Swiss Cheese" Giants. He had a few breakout runs that were stopped by a great PHI secondary. The same cannot be said for the NYG. Expect Jackson to get atleast one TD, possibly close 100 yds. Morency will not see the ball as much as people want him to...sorry.

RB Adrian Peterson: Not the CHI guy, but the MIN guy. He had a great day against an Atlanta D that was playing from behind the whole game. That shouldn't change as they face the Detroit Lions this week. He is a fantasy stud in the making....not playing him would be a crime this week. Expect 100 yds and a TD on the ground, 35-50 yds receiving and possible even a TD in this category. Expect big things from A.P.

WR T.J. "Who's yer Mamma": I have been type his name so long, I am not sure I can even spell it correctly. The whole CIN offense should see monster numbers against an aging, ailing, and basically NFl version of the Bad News "Browns"; The CLE defense. This team should be excellent under Romeo (Old D/Coord. for the PATS) but has been a big blemish on the CLE fans for what seems like a generation. T.J. will have better statistics than Ocho Cinco this week because Cleveland can't do much gainst the running of R.Johnson as well as the double coverage needed for C.Johnson allows T.J. to put up 150 yds and 2 TDs (Let's see how close my prediction is).

WR Marques Colston: All the guru's are predicting a fantasy letdown by Colston due to the study of film, sophomore slumps, and the increased load expected for Devery Henderson and David Patten. I just don't buy it. If you expect him to be more than a top "second tier" WR, yes, you will be let down, but 1K YDs and 7-10 TDs is not unreasonable... Expect him to get damn near 100 YDs and a few looks in the end-zone against an insufferable secondary (TB).

WR Deion Branch: Where did he go last week. I know he is a small guy, but I am sure that he was dwarfed by the ball boys last week. This can't be a constent pattern as Deion Branch has made a career out of "coming out of nowhere" and putting up points. Arizona doesn't have the depth to double-team him like he was last week. Expect him to see at least one TD when the game is done, how many yards depends on how well the 'Zona defense does up front to rattle Alexander and Hasselback (both on the decline, in my opinion).

WR Brandon Marshall: Here he is...in my list again. For those nay-sayers, think about this. He was playing with a knee and a half, and three quarters of one leg and still managed 52 YDs and a TD. Don't look for Stokley or Rod Smith to take away touches from here forward. If you didn't draft him, get him...if you have a "name" on your WR corp. but not really bought into him, trade for him... there are too many GMs that are in love with player "names" and not statistical production.

WR Jason Avant: I know everyone wants Kevin Curtis to be "that guy", however, if you watched the PHI game last week at all, you realize that he is a slot receiver at best. You know, The guy who goes in the middle, gets his head knocked off but holds onto the ball for a key first down. (See Wes Welker). Watch him this week. Iif he puts up anything significant, fantasy-wise, it's time to add him to your waiver wire claims.

TE Dallas Clark: He is the slot receiver, not Anthony Gonzalez. Yeah, Gonzalez is the future (great for keeper leagues) but Clark has shown such versatility that he will be the 2nd best TE in the league by years end. I didn't see it coming, but now that I have...I am calling it. He will see 8 - 10 receiving looks a game, at least two to three of them at the goal line. This total may increase as he is being worked into the screen pass (The Patriots Patent) more and more. He will probably see a rushing attempt at least once every other game (the "reverse").

TE Eric Johnson: I don't think that last week was a fluke for Eric either. I believe that as more and more teams figure out Sean Paytons' mind, Eric will grow more and more into a fantasy-worthy tight end... He is a great back-up TE and potentially a great starter as the season progresses.

TE Ben Watson: This is his week. I know the quality of the SD defense. Consider the quality and depth of weapons on the NE offense. (They did lose their biggest weapon...the CAMERAMAN!!!!) They can double Moss and mostly use "one on one" coverage for Stallworth & Welker. But can't account totally for Ben Watson if you do that...not with the RBs keeping the front seven at bay. The RB corp. is the key to NE's success, but only to keep the D from dropping back too much, which will, in my opinion, give Watson the best chance to get the most stats this week from the NE offense.

There are a ton more, but time is limited today. Have a hectic schedule to attend to. Hope this helps with your line-up decisions.


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